Monday, December 27, 2010

Lackluster week

27-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
Last week was important week, in which market was range bound with positive bias.
China has increased interest rates by 25 point basis, which may affect commodity prices particularly metals and steel. But it looks that Asia has ignored the effects of rate increment by china.
Global Indications:
USA – Europe Markets were closed on Friday, so we have no clues from USA- Europe at least. But if we see on weekly basis Nasdaq and S&P are trading at 2 years’ higher level since last 4-5 weeks.   
Today morning ASIAN markets are trading in greens except Hangseng. Nikki is up by 46, Kospi is up by 5 points and straits is up by 7 points.
Singapore Nifty was down up to 16.50 points, but at 8.00 am it has covered all it’s lost ground and is trading at previous close point.
Today’s Call

1.      Bajaj Hindustan looks very good above Rs. 120 for short term i.e. for 5-7 days. Current price of the share is Rs. 117.70, one can trade for 2 to 5% returns from present levels. In Medium term it may reach up to 140 levels if it is closed above Rs 121. SL is Rs. 113.
2.      Buy Siemens at Rs. 809.50. Target is 836 and SL is 790.  

Weekly Review

This week is very important week as it will be expiry week for December 2010 and also for the year 2010. Market was able to close above 6000 levels. If it crosses 6040 levels on closing basis than we may reach at recent highs of 6350 levels. But until we cross this level be cautious in trade. Please book profits at each rise. 

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks       

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Imporatnt week for Direction

19-12-2010
Hi
Happy Trading for coming week. Week starting from 20th December 2010 will be most important week. Nifty in last week has moved up by 66 points only. We have seen no major breaks in last week. Nifty has not breached recent low of 5690 and had made low of 5721 which is a good sign for moving up. But Nifty has major resistance at 6040 levels or we can say that recent high on 6th December 2010 i.e. 6069 is crucial level for nifty.
One should not go for long unless Nifty closes 6040 levels – decisively.
If we consider recent high of 6th December 2010 at 6069 levels and recent low of 10th December 2010 at 5721 levels and take a retracement nifty has retraced up to 61.8% level which comes to 5950 levels. On last day of week nifty has closed at 5948 levels i.e. exactly at 61.8% retracement level. So closing of Nifty on Monday and Tuesday will decide the fate of the weeks to come. If it close above 5950 levels than it will definitely try to touch recent top of 6069 levels making double top position. Nifty may take pause near to this level and than may take decisive move.
So please watch Nifty on Monday and Tuesday very closely. Levels of 5721, 5950, 6040 and 6070 are very important levels to watch for any trading/ investment decision.
In last week I have picked up two shares mainly i.e. Reliance and Wipro. Wipro has almost achieved it’s target and Reliance is still above 1040 levels and may cross it’s target of 1080 very soon.
6040 level is important level now.
Watch Tata Steel for trading purpose and it may go up to 680 levels.
Thanks and please give your reviews.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Nifty at Important level

14-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
Yesterday market has bounce back and nifty was closed at 5907. Initially market was down and one time it looks like that it will break down and may move towards 5700 levels. But in afternoon it has recovered smartly and was able to close nearly 50 points up.
Global cues are mixed today morning.
Global Indications:
USA – Dow Jones was up by 18 points where as Nasdaq was meagrely down by 12 points. FTSE and CAC were closed in green. Europe has closed in greens.
Today morning ASIAN markets are trading in narrow range. Nikki is up by 0.08, Hnesang is upo by 68 points, Kospi is up by 5 points.
Singapore Nifty is down by 9 points.
Today’s Call

Yesterday I have given Buy call for Wipro at 450 for a target of 480 in 2-4 week’s time, SL is 420, which still hold good. 

Have a eye on burger paints and hexaware computer. Have a watch on Reliance too, it is very near to break out point and is heading towards 1100 levels. If we see today reliance holds 1040 levels than it will touch 1100 levels within short time.  

Today is very important day for nifty. Nifty initially may move up and than we may see some profit booking at higher range i.e. 5950 to 5980 levels.

Summary is if you want to buy wait for clear indications please!!!!!!!!!!!!.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks       

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Wait for Clear Indications!!!!

13-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
In Last week NSE has drifted down by 135.45 points or 2.26% and was able close at 5857.35.
In last week, Market was down in first four trading sessions and than on Friday, there was a pull back rally.
In Last week Indian market was underperformer as compared with global market. Global markets were not that much week as Indian market was. We can say that market is not taking cues from global market in short term.
This week is also we may see again tough war between bears and bulls. Important level for upward move is 6040 level. I once again reiterate that confirm uptrend will start in market only after market is closing above this level. Till that point one can sale at every bounce.
So far as down trend is concerned recent low of 5690 is very important level. If market breach this level on closing basis than probabilities of going down up to 5550 levels will increased.
Global Indications:
As i have said in upper para, global cues are not that much of important in recent time for Indian markets.
USA was in greens on Friday and almost all asia is trading marginally in greens at 8.00 AM.
Singapore Nifty is trading 5 points down
Today’s Call

Buy Wipro at 450 for a target of 480 in 2-4 week’s time. SL is 420.  

Summary is if you want to buy wait for clear indications please!!!!!!!!!!!!.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Not good time for bottom fishing

10-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
Global Indications:
Global cues, particularly from USA flat. Yesterday night, Dow Jones was down by only 2 points and Nasdaq was up by 7.50 points and S & P Was up by 4.72 points. Asian market is trading down marginally. SGX Nifty is trading down by 22 points.
Global indications are flat yesterday. No clear cut indications are there from global market. 

Market is not uptrend till low of nifty is not above 6040. If Market violates 5690 low on closing basis than it may go down till 5550 – 5580 levels.
Today no picks.

Summary is that wait for bottom fishing please!!!!!!!!!!!!.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks       

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Fight is ON - without clear winner

08-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
Global Indications:
Global cues, particularly from USA are not encouraging. Yesterday night, Dow Jones was up by more than 50 points but in the end it has closed down by 3 points. Asian market is trading up with marginal gains. SGX Nifty is trading down by 31 points.
Global indications are flat yesterday. No clear cut indications are there from global market. 

USA – Europe

On Monday, Dow Jones down by 3 points, , Nasdaq up by 3 points, S & P down  by 0.6 points, FTSE up by 33 points, DAX  up by 43 points appx.

Nikki +98, Kospi + 3, Strait + 4, Hengseng  -Untouch, Shanghai -1

Singapore nifty is trading down by 31 points.

Battle between bears and bulls is going on at it picks and no clear cut indications of winning either. So stay away from market till definite trend of market is clear.

Market is not uptrend till low of nifty is not above 6040.
Yesterday I have picked up Tata Steel and Glenmark Pharma for trading. Both had increased by 1%.

Today no picks but previous picks hold good.

Summary is that wait for clear cues to trade in the Market.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks       

Monday, December 6, 2010

Watch out today for Indications!!!!!

07-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the day.
Yesterday, I have seen flat market and Nifty was down by 0.55 points and Sensex was up by just 14 points.
Nifty has touched a high of 6069 and than breach down it’s important levels of 6040 and 6000 levels and closed below 6000 marks i.e. at 5992.
 Global Indications:
Global indications are flat yesterday. No clear cut indications are there from global market. 

USA – Europe

On Monday, Dow Jones down by 19 points, , Nasdaq up by 4 points, S & P down  by 2 points, FTSE up by 26 points, DAX  up by 5 points appx.

Today Morning – Asia is also trading with no clear mood but has a downward bias.

Nikki -65, Kospi + 4, Strait - 12, Hengseng  -118, Shanghai -40

Singapore nifty is trading down by 3 points.

Yesterday , I have mentioned that this week is very much important, as war between bears and bulls in final stage and we may see some clear idea for trading during the week. There will be heavy fighting to win the battle. Yesterday, Bulls were in initial lead but lastly they have lost all the ground what they have won and nifty was down by just 0.55 points. This is not good indications. We may say that at each rise there will be a selling pressure.
If Nifty breaches down side recent low of 5690 than it will have support at 5550 levels. So be careful in trading in this week. If Nifty is closed above 6040 levels convincingly than and than only we can say there is change of trend and market is ready for big run.
I still maintain that market is not uptrend till low of nifty is not above 6040.
Today watch Tata Steel for trading. I have not picked up it clearly as it is on the verge of breaching important moving averages and levels. Important Level is 650. If it breaks and moves up it may heading towards it’s recent highs i.e. 685. One can buy it with a Strict SL of 620.

Another stock to watch is Glenmark Pharma.

Summary is that wait for clear cues to trade in the Market.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks       

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Important week / Flat ????


06-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings for the week.
Last week we have seen pull back rally in the market. The sensex has gained almost 860 points after coming down almost 2000 points in last 2-3 weeks.
Global Indications:
Global indications are flat for the week though Dow Jones was able to maintain 11000 levels and trading at recent 52 weeks highs. Europe has bailed out Ireland but still Spain is waiting for it’s turn.    

USA – Europe

On Friday Dow Jones up by 20 points, , Nasdaq up by 12 , S & P up by 3.18 points, FTSE down by 22 points, DAX  down by 10 points appx.

Today Morning – Asia is also trading with upward moods

Nikki -31, Kospi - 4, Strait + 30, Hengseng  + 265, Shanghai + 25

Singapore nifty is trading up by 24 points.

So far as our market is concern, I see tough war between bulls and bears in coming week. This week is going to be very important for next move of the market. If it close above 6140 levels with low of the market above 6040 levels than we can say market has turn around and may successfully breach recent highs.
But if it breaches down side recent lows than it will have support at 5740 and 5550 levels. So be careful in trading in this week.
On the basis of Singapore Nifty we can say that market may open in positive mood but As I have written in my previous blogs, please watch Nifty carefully for 6040 level. 
I still maintain that market is not uptrend till low of nifty is not above 6040.
On Thursday I have selected Mundraport but as i have suggested SL, it has hit the SL and I hope you have come out of it.  

Summary is that wait for clear cues to trade in the Market.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Nifty to touch 6040 levels??

02-12-2010
Hi,
Wish you all happy earnings today.
Yesterday market has shown very good recovery and has moved up sharply.
Global Indications:
Global indications are very positive today.

USA – Europe

Dow Jones up by 249 points, , Nasdaq up by 51 , S & P up by 19 points, FTSE up by 114 points, DAX  up by 114 points.

Today Morning – Asia is also trading with upward moods

Nikki +178, Kospi 17, Strait + 0.43, Hengseng  + 300, Shanghai + 10

Singapore nifty is trading up by 42 points.

Today, we may market in buying mood initially. We may see very good gap up opening today.  As I hahve written yesterday please have a eye on 6040 level. 
Yesterday, I have picked up Rajesh Exports and advised to buy it if it sustains above 126 levels. Yesterday it has crossed 126 levels for short time and then closed down at 117 levels.
Please be cautious that market is not uptrend till low of nifty is not above 6040.
I have picked up today Mundra port today at 154 levels. Tgt is 160. SL 149. If it closes above 160 than it may move up to 171-172 levels in medium term.

Please write your suggestions and ideas.

Thanks